Thursday, October 05, 2006

Week 6 prediction results

Week 6 results:

San Francisco over New York 2.5-1.5
Carolina ties Philly 2-2
Baltimore over Boston 2.5-1.5
Dallas over Tennessee 3-1
Seattle over Miami 3.5-0.5

Even after Boston's loss, they still have a 2 point lead in the east with only 4 matches left, shouldn't be too much of a struggle to hold it. In the west however, things are much closer. The Sluggers trail the Mechanics by only half a point and the two west-coast rivals face off next week for their first match of the season. Likely the winner of the season-series with current draw odds to San Francisco will take the division and get the first round bye plus draw odds in the division championship match. Neither team is in real jeopardy of missing the playoffs with the closest trailers being at 2.5-3.5 and facing eachother next week. If you live in the San Francisco area I would highly recommend coming down to the mechanics institute next wednesday and checking out the delayed commentary by GM Yermolinsky and watch one of the most important matches this season.

And the game by game scores:

San Francisco over New York 2.5-1.5
JG +3
Arun/Ron +0

Carolina ties Philly 2-2
All +0

Baltimore over Boston 2.5-1.5
JG/Arun +3
Ron +0

Dallas over Tennessee 3-1
JG/Arun +4
Ron +2

Seattle over Miami 3.5-0.5
All +0

This weeks scores:
JG +10
Arun +7
Ron +2

Totals:
1st: JG (a.k.a. "Mystery Blog Guy") 53 points
2nd: Arun 36 points
3rd: Ron 29

So I'm almost a perfect week (that is picking five 3-1 victories all correctly in a week for 20 points) ahead of Arun who gained a solid lead of Ron. Arun did wisely this week to mimic some of my more controversial picks although I think I had a few too many this week. I started off trying to pick Miami over Seattle and I was figuring out exactly how this would happen, couldn't really figure it out so I then picked tie, but probably the fact that I couldn't figure out how Miami wins should have set off warning bells. Oh well, hindsight is 20/20.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

I think JG prediction Baltimore over Boston this week can be discounted as being lucky rather than prophetic because his prediction was based on Boston's disadvantage on bottom boards (1.5/2 actually scored) and surely did not anticipate an 0-2 score for Boston on top two bds.

JG said...

Well, my general principle on predictions is I based it on the "theoretical" result of the games being played, but understanding that the results might vary, but in the long run the probability of it varying on some boards is similar to the probability of it varying on other boards so things TEND to cancel out. Of course they do not always cancel out, sometimes my predictions are wrong when of course all odds are defied.